Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.630953 2.772055 2.919225 3.084637 3.265937 3.459238 3.681763
2025-11-02 2.385290 2.587234 2.808319 3.070222 3.374541 3.720198 4.147212
2025-11-09 2.202440 2.431196 2.689200 3.005207 3.386762 3.839308 4.427331
2025-11-16 2.074252 2.320808 2.605397 2.963336 3.409267 3.957725 4.702356
2025-11-23 2.000518 2.265728 2.578363 2.981376 3.498593 4.157608 5.092703
2025-11-30 1.932333 2.211089 2.545630 2.986162 3.566533 4.330012 5.458816
2025-12-07 1.837327 2.117617 2.458292 2.913806 3.525487 4.349498 5.606660
2025-12-14 1.756423 2.037279 2.382491 2.850419 3.489734 4.370004 5.753254
2025-12-21 1.704873 1.990988 2.346934 2.836626 3.518542 4.480727 6.044694
2025-12-28 1.657874 1.948100 2.313157 2.822307 3.544043 4.586357 6.337205
2026-01-04 1.616489 1.910478 2.284114 2.812040 3.573289 4.697884 6.650032
2026-01-11 1.587906 1.888079 2.273743 2.826229 3.637655 4.866453 7.079396
2026-01-18 1.555804 1.861628 2.259063 2.836794 3.702205 5.048773 7.576214
2026-01-25 1.516446 1.824418 2.228612 2.823715 3.730835 5.177172 7.997826
2026-02-01 1.464675 1.768673 2.170351 2.766977 3.687540 5.180848 8.174872
2026-02-08 1.423161 1.725313 2.127432 2.730371 3.672982 5.231207 8.453565
2026-02-15 1.401779 1.708385 2.120403 2.746148 3.742227 5.432778 9.087114
2026-02-22 1.377983 1.687237 2.106397 2.750332 3.792254 5.604057 9.688740
2026-03-01 1.334246 1.637327 2.049817 2.687013 3.726256 5.555109 9.766393
2026-03-08 1.295072 1.592760 1.999564 2.631439 3.670218 5.520398 9.874011
2026-03-15 1.271173 1.568770 1.978060 2.619333 3.686948 5.625612 10.352097
2026-03-22 1.248323 1.545600 1.956936 2.606759 3.701812 5.728099 10.846155
2026-03-29 1.227607 1.524859 1.938641 2.597741 3.722064 5.842832 11.401368